This page is the public record of our predictions. It shows the headline accuracy over an exact date range and number of picks, the results for every market next to that market’s base rate, whether our confidence ratings match what really happened, and a dated list of changes to the model.
Predictions are published before kickoff and settled afterwards. Wins and losses are both counted, and nothing is removed.
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69.3% of 2,708 settled predictions were correct between 6 Oct to 4 Nov 2026. 93.6% of picks were published before kickoff.